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Drew Soicher’s bad joke pissed the Broncos off pretty good

Drew Soicher’s bad joke pissed the Broncos off pretty good

Drew Soicher's silly routine on 9 News got him in trouble this time. Audio provided by the Press Box Read More ....

Dusty Saunders takes Drew Soicher to task at long last

Dusty Saunders takes Drew Soicher to task at long last

"9 News employs dozens of excellent reporters and anchors who help the station set the gold standard with its local news product. Even its other sports anchors, Rod Mackey, Aaron...

The de-Masaiing of the Nuggets has begun

The de-Masaiing of the Nuggets has begun

When Masai Ujiri remained the GM of your Denver Nuggets he was held in very high regard as one of the NBA's finest wheeler-dealers. In his absence, though, some of...

They should make soccer way badder ass for America

They should make soccer way badder ass for America

"With a few new rules, soccer can kick ass on the wild side. After all, few billion heathens can’t be wrong. The world spends half its rupees on soccer, so...

Big idea: The Mile High Sports Magazine “Boys of Summer” issue.

Big idea: The Mile High Sports Magazine “Boys of Summer” issue.

"...they would be breaking every stereotype in the macho world of sports publishing."

Change nothing but change the name Redskins

Change nothing but change the name Redskins

"Once Daniel Snyder capitulates the matter will be swept beneath the rug within a week and our attention will be drawn elsewhere. That's the way these things work." Read more ...

Will we look back more fondly on the Tebow season than on the Manning era?

Will we look back more fondly on the Tebow season than on the Manning era?

If Peyton Manning never wins a Super Bowl with the Broncos it's quite possible that decades from now fans will look back with greater fondness on the 2011 season than...

Kathy Sabine's next level weather dong

Kathy Sabine's next level weather dong

Deadspin (http://deadspin.com/tag/weather-dong) (@Deadspin) has been tracking instances of weather dong for as long as we can remember so it's with all due credit to them that we present what...

Better grilling NOW with Mangrate, the grill enhancement system. Use promo code: Denver for a $10 discount

Better grilling NOW with Mangrate, the grill enhancement system. Use promo code: Denver for a $10 discount

We at South Stands have been using Mangrate (http://www.mangrate.com/) for years. What's Mangrate? It's the 100% made in America grill enhancement system consisting of solid cast iron grill grates just like...

Dear John: a face-painting fanatical Broncos fan confronts Reidy's disgust

Dear John: a face-painting fanatical Broncos fan confronts Reidy's disgust

The host of the South Stands Denver Fancast, our own John Reidy (@johnreidydenver), has been vocal in his digust for the Broncos since their disasterous performance in the Super Bowl....

Brian Shaw can cement his legacy as Denver's biggest jerk ever

Brian Shaw can cement his legacy as Denver's biggest jerk ever

"ESPN's Stephen A Smith, a giant turd of a human being, reported on ESPN radio on Friday that Shaw would like to come to the big apple and that he...

Michael Sam's kiss was jarring; not that there's anything wrong with that.

Michael Sam's kiss was jarring; not that there's anything wrong with that.

"Not everybody was prepared to see two athletes kissing on TV. And it wasn't only the kissing that rocked America. It was the gentle stroking of Sam's bicep, the hand...

Bandwagon vs. Fair Weather Fan : A Tutorial

Bandwagon vs. Fair Weather Fan : A Tutorial

"The actual bandwagon is reserved for those who do not follow sports, know nothing about the details and specifics of how the game is played or even the players who...

Don’t let Donald Sterling give racism center stage

Don’t let Donald Sterling give racism center stage

"This “look at me” rush to protestation gives too much credit to men like Donald Sterling and not enough credit to our society." Read more ...

9 News sports down a MILF as Susie Wargin is moving on

9 News sports down a MILF as Susie Wargin is moving on

The always curly and terminally smiley Susie Wargin is vacating the media planet to dedicate herself to selling real estate according to Joanne Ostrow (http://blogs.denverpost.com/ostrow/2014/04/22/susie-wargin-leave-9news/18330/) of the Denver Post. It...

Scooo-ooo-oo-ore! There's only one Marc Moser and boy are we lucky to have him.

Scooo-ooo-oo-ore! There's only one Marc Moser and boy are we lucky to have him.

(audio courtesy of Altitude Radio) "For all I know there are hundreds of masterful announcers all over this great land who can keep fans informed and excited and paint a...

Ty Lawson might have been the best part of last night's Avalanche win

Ty Lawson might have been the best part of last night's Avalanche win

As Paul Stastny scored the winning overtime goal in last night's exciting Avalanche victory over the Wild one elated fan looked familiar banging on the glass and cheering on the...

The Avalanche gave us the greatest Denver Sports moments since Tebow

The Avalanche gave us the greatest Denver Sports moments since Tebow

(photo: USA Today sports) "If we're lucky we'll witness a dozen or so "where were you" moments in our lifetimes as sports fans. One happened last night." Read More ...

Make room on the Avalanche bandwagon, hockey nerd

Make room on the Avalanche bandwagon, hockey nerd

"There's an interesting contrast between the way the sudden popularity of the Avalanche is perceived versus the continued interest in the Colorado Rockies. Some in the media assert that the...

Nuggets’ “never say die” mentality will serve them well

Nuggets’ “never say die” mentality will serve them well

"The young Nuggets are building confidence. By taking teams like the Rockets to the wire and by showing faith in their own talents the Nuggets are building a foundation for...

Denver fans are doomed to sit amongst their enemies

Denver fans are doomed to sit amongst their enemies

"People come to Colorado with their allegiances in tow. Rather than adapt, to become ardent fans of the local teams, they show up to our venues to watch their teams...

Plan now for these spring special events from Table to Tavern

Plan now for these spring special events from Table to Tavern

Spring is springing all over and for our friends at Table to Tavern spring means special events. Visit TableToTavern.com (http://tabletotavern.com/) for more information and to make your reservations early for...

John Elway is determined to prove he has no soul

John Elway is determined to prove he has no soul

"Elway's actions as a GM, especially in the wake of Denver's 2014 Super Bowl loss, sometimes have gone beyond calculating to cold." Read More ....

The Nuggets have a need, a need for Faried

The Nuggets have a need, a need for Faried

"Since the trade deadline, particularly since the beginning of March, Faried has begun to prove his doubters wrong. Aside from Ty Lawson, "Manimal", it can be argued, has been the...

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Saturday, 10 November 2012 11:17

Fantasy Falderal (TM): revisiting the first-round QB debate

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Prior to the fantasy football season various drafting experts provided players with differing advice on first-round strategy, particulary where quarteback were concerned. As we head toward the fantasy playoffs, let's revisit the issue.

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Prior to 2012 fantasy drafts, two ESPN fantasy experts had two different perspectives on early draft strategy. Matthew Berry, AKA the "Talented Mr. Roto" endorsed snagging a top-5 QB, Cecil Lammey, NFL Insider and FootballGuys.com analyst, promoted what he called "stud running back theory".

Three weeks into the fantasy season, the question of whether or not to draft a premium QB with an early pick in the first round of drafts seemed to have been answered "No" . At that time I wrote a Fantasy Falderal item for this site titled "The first-round QB debate is settled". Top-teir QBs had gotten off to a slow start. On the flip side, top-5 backs were proving their worth. So, it seemed as though the issue was resolved. As fantasy players gear up for the playoffs, though, there's less clarity on the matter.

For the sake of reflection let's look at the performances of Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, Tom Brady and Matthew Stafford, the four QBs thought to be potentially worthy of a top-12 overall selection, versus Arian Foster, Ray Rice, LeShean McCoy and Chris Johnson, the consensus top four RBs.

How do these two groups compare in terms of reliability and overall scoring?

For reference I am using the South Stands Denver Fantasy Football League (SSDFFL) in which passing TDs are worth 5 points and rushing TDs are worth 6. This is a PPR league. Fractional scoring is allowed, but I will round point totals off for this article.

In that league Aaron Rodgers is the top overall player with 347 points. Brees is the second scorer with 345 points. Brady is fourth with 321 points and Stafford is seventh with 286 points. The top four pre-draft QBs have produced an average of about 325 points each.

In this league, Peyton Manning, Matt Ryan, Andrew Luck and Carson Palmer are all near the top of the scoring heap, also, having produced an average of 302 points. Robert Griffin III falls just outside this group becuase there is no premium on QB rushing yardage. Of this group, only Matt Ryan was widely considered to be a top-10 "lock". The others are all round 5-6 type selections or, in Palmer's case, a late round flier, yet the group has produced almost 90% of the points the top-4 QB selections have.

The stud RBs, Foster, Rice McCoy and Johnson, are all amongst the top ten RBs in scoring after nine games, having produced an average of 124.5 points. A number of surprise performers have also cracked the top ten, however. Adrian Peterson, Doug Martin, Trent Richardson and Marshawn Lynch, all considered high-upside plays prior to the draft, have averaged 132.5 in accumulated points. Of this group only Doug Martin was likely to have slipped past the second round in drafts. Still, Martin, along with players like CJ Spiller, Willis McGahee and Alfred Morris are examples of guys that could be doing very well for fantasy players that did opt to select an early QB.

After week three I had come around to the idea that Cecil Lammey's "stud RB theory" was nails. I am beginning to waiver now. Part of this is because Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady have slowly risen back to the top eschelon of fantasy performers. Each started out slowly, but has proven to be a safe investment as the season has gone by. Guys like RGIII and Andrew Luck have been nice surprises, but it's clear that the QBs selected in the first round have lived up to expectations. There is a pretty big dropoff for QB production between the top six 2012 QBs and the next grouping.

The dropoff at RB occurs after the top five, two of whom, Doug Martin and Trent Richardson, could have been drafted as late as the third round in some 12-team leagues.

It's tough to question the validity of drafting a QB early. What has become abundantly clear, however, is that drafting WR is the first round has not worked out. Calvin Johnson, the traditional RD1 WR has been an enormous disappointment.

 

 

 

 

 

Last modified on Saturday, 10 November 2012 12:24
Colin Daniels

Colin is the emcee of the South Stands Denver Fancast and maintains our Twitter and Facebook accounts.

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